Looking at the value (picks & cash) of Seattle’s draft class

Jarran Reed on stageEveryone always laughs at the instant draft grades handed out by analysts — the argument being that it is impossible to know how well a team did until its draft class has shown itself over a couple of years.

That part certainly is true. But the one part of the draft that can be judged immediately is the value a team received for its picks.
The Seahawks haven’t always gotten great value for their picks. It’s why they were judged harshly in 2011 and 2012 — even though they found future stars in both of those drafts.

This draft has pretty unanimously been judged a success — both because the Seahawks seemingly picked up good players who filled roster needs and because they got some great value along the way.

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Forget the Lynch drama; check out the cap space

Salary cap logoFor some reason, there has been a lot of concern about Marshawn Lynch’s retirement status: Is he really retiring? Why hasn’t he submitted his papers? Is he trying to screw the Seahawks? Will they make him a June 1 cut?

So many conspiracy theories.

Some people have wondered whether the Seahawks would designate Lynch as a post-June 1 move, thereby allowing the team an extra $2.5 million in 2016 cap space (but removing $2.5 million from the 2017 cap).

But anyone who has followed John Schneider’s moves with the Hawks understands he likes to take his lumps now, not later. He confirmed that once again Tuesday in an interview with KJR 950, saying the team will place Lynch on the reserve-retired list by June 1 so all of his $5 million in dead money (the unamortized portion of his signing bonus) hits this year’s cap.

Schneider clearly just wants to wipe that slate clean for 2017 and feels no need for an extra $2.5 million this offseason.

“It’s basically like a credit card, like you want to pay off your credit card as you go,’’ Schneider said. “So, like with us, if we place him on reserve/retired (by June 1) then we accept that cap hit this year, and we would rather do that than do it after June 1.’’

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Hawks going big to avoid going home early again

NFL draftThe Seahawks lost seven games last season, and most of those losses occurred because their offensive line got pushed around.

The Rams and Panthers especially dominated Seattle with their great defensive fronts — the Rams’ Aaron Donald, Michael Brockers, Robert Quinn and William Hayes; the Panthers’ Kawann Short, Star Lotulelei, Kony Ealy and Charles Johnson. Those crews handed Seattle four losses, including the one that knocked the Hawks out of the playoffs.

The Seahawks will see those lines at least three times next season, and Pete Carroll and John Schneider know they have to get stronger up front if they are going to avoid the same fate they suffered in 2015. They can’t be swept by the Rams if they want to win the NFC West, and they can’t lose to the Panthers if they want to win the NFC.

That’s all you really need to know to understand why they drafted 6-foot-6, 324-pound tackle Germain Ifedi in the first round, 6-4, 314-pound guard Rees Odhiambo in the third and 6-2, 299-pound center Joey Hunt in the sixth. They are all smart, strong and athletic — and it sounds like the Seahawks think they all have a chance to start, now or later.

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CHAWK LINES -- Draft

Seahawks.com runs down every draft pick, with quotes, photos, audio and more.

Even as the Seahawks put together their most conventional draft under John Schneider, they still managed to go in a different direction than the rest of the league.

With Marshawn Lynch retiring, the Seahawks drafted three running backs.

The Seahawks took a lot of linemen and running backs because that is where the draft led them.

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Carroll: Rawls is the starting tailback

Rawls and Wilson vs. RavensHow many running backs does it take to replace Marshawn Lynch while he rides off into the sunset on a camel? Apparently three.

As Lynch led their running game for most of the last six years, the Seahawks had drafted just four running backs (including one fullback). Now, with Lynch retiring — yes, he is, Pete Carroll and John Schneider confirmed — the Seahawks added three backs in this draft alone.

But none of them will displace Thomas Rawls as the starter. Carroll made that clear Saturday after the Seahawks added Alex Collins and Zac Brooks to a backfield that already included third-rounder C.J. Prosise, Rawls and former second-rounder Christine Michael.

“Thomas gives us a great element in his style of play. We love the way he is physical and aggressive and tough,” Carroll said of the second-year back who took over for an injured Lynch as a rookie and rushed for 830 yards before suffering a broken ankle against Baltimore in Week 14.

“I think the message of who we are and what we’re about has been Thomas,” Carroll said. “We’re really excited to continue to see that.”

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Schneider leans on 2017 comp picks to add DT

John Schneider draftingJohn Schneider has built a reputation as a draft pick collector. He’s such a pick hoarder that he had surrendered picks to move up just twice in his first six drafts.

Well, in his seventh draft, he flipped the script, trading up twice. And he did something he had never done during the draft: trading a future pick to get back into a round.

The move up to draft Jarran Reed in the second round on Friday cost the Hawks their fourth-round pick and meant they were going to have to wait 72 picks before their first selection on Day 3. But they saw another defensive tackle they liked in the fifth round (before their pick at 171), so they decided to send New England a 2017 fourth-rounder so they could pick Quinton Jefferson.

It was the first time since 2009 — before Schneider and Pete Carroll arrived — that the Seahawks had dealt away a future pick during the draft. In 2009, Tim Ruskell traded gave up a 2010 third-rounder as part of a package to get back into the 2009 third for wide receiver Deon Butler.

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Just four picks today, plus the ever-fruitful ‘eighth round’

NFL draftFor the first time since John Schneider became general manager, the Seahawks drafted more players on the first two days than on Day 3.

In fact, the four picks today will be the fewest under Schneider — assuming the Seahawks don’t make an unexpected move involving a player or 2017 pick that gives them another selection.

Barring those kinds of moves, the Seahawks will draft once each in the fifth and sixth rounds (both untradeable comp picks) and twice in the seventh (both tradeable but not likely to be dealt).

Schneider has been money in the fifth round, hitting on 4 of 9 picks — Richard Sherman and Kam Chancellor standing as his masterpieces. He has hit on a few in the last two rounds, too — Byron Maxwell, Jeremy Lane, J.R. Sweezy, Malcolm Smith — but the Hawks have actually been at least as good in the “eighth” round.

Continue reading Just four picks today, plus the ever-fruitful ‘eighth round’

‘It’s going to be a hell of a class’

“I think it’s going to be a hell of a class.” — John Schneider, after adding five players in the first two days of the draft.

Draft -- Schneider and CarrollFor the first time since 2010, the Seahawks did not do anything offbeat — and it looks like it could turn out to be their best draft in four years.

The Seahawks like to point out that their grading system is not the same as the rest of the league, but this time most of their picks matched projections — and they got some great value as they filled holes on both lines and added depth at running back and tight end.

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Seahawks poised to have huge Day 2

NFL draftThe Seahawks are poised for a big day — one that should satisfy a couple of needs and possibly bring a couple of so-called luxury picks.

The Hawks are one of four teams with four picks today — set up to dominate the tail end of the day, with three picks in the final nine.

Pete Carroll called it “the meat part of this draft,” and John Schneider said, “It’s going to be a blast.”

“It’s huge — huge for us picking three times in the third round,” Schneider said. “We pick at 56 tomorrow, and then we have nine more picks, so that’s really exciting for us. … We feel like it’s a solid draft all the way through.”

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Guy named Lynch helped Seahawks win Day 1

NFL draftIt figures that a guy named Lynch had a lot to do with the Seahawks winning big on the first day of the NFL draft.

Marshawn is retired (we think), but Paxton is just coming into the league, and the Seahawks took advantage of that and an unexpected first-round development to end up with a double win.

While they didn’t move out of the first round for the fourth straight year, as it seemed they would, they did better: They traded down just five spots and added another third-round pick while helping their offensive line with Texas A&M’s Germain Ifedi.

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