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Week 12: San Francisco

Hawks must get ground game going if they want to make a run

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The Seahawks were expected to have a top-10 offense in 2023, but here we are in Week 12 and they rank 21st overall, 19th in scoring.   

They have not had an offense rank this poorly since 2011, the year before Russell Wilson arrived.

After a predictable 31-13 blowout by the 49ers on Thanksgiving night, the Hawks have lost three of four games to drop to 6-5. And they are staring at an upcoming gantlet of Dallas, San Francisco again and Philadelphia that seems very likely to drop them to 6-8.

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State of the team

Blowout didn’t change anything: Hawks still a borderline one-and-out playoff team

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The Seahawks never seemed like a Super Bowl contender throughout the first half of the season – they never even put together a complete game in a 5-2 start — and their 37-3 blowout loss to Baltimore in Week 9 proved it. There’s no Super Bowl in this team, even if John Schneider’s big deadline trade seemed to say the Hawks thought they had a chance.

The Baltimore debacle was a total team failure, from coaching to QB play to OL play to a million missed tackles on defense. As Jordyn Brooks said, they just did not come ready to play.

The Hawks are neither as good as their 5-2 record made some think nor as bad as this nightmare 34-point defeat would seem to indicate. They are still what we thought they were: a borderline one-and-done playoff team.

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Trades, Week 8: Cleveland

Leonard Williams trade makes good defense better, puts pressure on Geno

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As Pete Carroll is fond of saying – and said again Monday morning – the Seahawks “are always competing.” But, every three years or so, you can count on John Schneider going for it even bigger than usual.

On Monday, Schneider pulled off his first deadline deal since 2020, acquiring Pro Bowl defensive lineman Leonard Williams from the New York Giants in a bid to further strengthen Seattle’s ascending defense. It’s a move that puts even more pressure on Geno Smith to play mistake-free football.

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Week 6: At Cincinnati, X's & O's

As defense gets better and better, Smith is regressing

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Over the first month of the season, Geno Smith had done a decent job of surviving, sometimes overcoming, the loss of both tackles and intermittent other injuries along the Seahawks’ offensive line.

The Seahawks had few explosive passing plays and were terrible on third downs, thanks to playing so many backups on the line, but Smith had managed to avoid any big mistakes (just one interception).

But Sunday in a 17-13 loss in Cincinnati, he played probably his worst game since becoming Seattle’s starting QB and ruined a great performance by a resurgent Seahawks defense.  It cost the Hawks a chance to gain ground on San Francisco in the division.  

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State of the team

After 3-1 start, Hawks need to become more than just survivors

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The Seahawks spent the first month of the season merely surviving — overcoming a decimated offensive line, injuries in their secondary, big passing numbers from opposing quarterbacks and poor third-down performance on both sides, among other things.

They managed to hit their bye week at 3-1, thanks to an OT win in Detroit and victories over Carolina and New York, which are a combined 1-9 after both lost yet again in Week 5.

The Seahawks used a stunningly stout run defense, some big takeaways and some great offensive coaching to make it through the first month. Now they need their offensive line and secondary to get healthy so they can fix issues that otherwise will cost them against the good teams they are about to face.

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Injury report, Schedule

Will easy stretch pass shorthanded Hawks by?

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The Seahawks are starting a stretch of very winnable games – if only they weren’t in even worse shape than some of these upcoming opponents.

Other than a pick-six and correct call on a coin flip (the main reasons they are not 0-2), pretty much everything has gone wrong for the Hawks so far.

Their defense is one of the very worst in the league, their running game is still stumbling along and their roster is torn up with injuries that give little confidence that they will turn around their weaknesses any time soon.

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State of the team

Will the defense hold the Hawks back again this year?

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We usually are more bullish on the Seahawks than most.

Examples: In 2018, many picked them to struggle (as few as four wins) after the Legion of Boom was dismantled, but we projected 11 wins and they finished with 10. Last year, as Vegas put the O/U at 5.5 wins, we predicted eight– and they finished 9-8 and made the playoffs for the 10th time in Pete Carroll’s 13 years.

This year, we are not as high on the Hawks as many seem to be. Some think they will win as many as 12 games, but those people have a lot more faith in the defense than we do.

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Contracts, NFL draft

How will Hawks make cap room for rookies and the rest?

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Upon completion of a draft that added 10 players to Seattle’s cap-strapped roster, John Schneider was asked whether he needed to make any contract-related moves to sign the rookies.

Schneider’s answer: “We’re OK right now.”

“Right now” is the operative phrase, as the Seahawks definitely will need to create about $4 million in space to sign the rookies before training camp. By the time the season starts, they also will need about $6 million for practice squad and injury moves. And they probably are budgeting about $2.5 million for Al Woods or another veteran D-lineman – which they need very much.

All told, the Hawks need about $12.5 million in added cap space.

So where do they get it?

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NFL draft

Big boys finally come in Rounds 4-5

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After ignoring their lines on the first two days, the Seahawks hit both with a vengeance on Day 3. In Rounds 4 and 5 they added two guys on each side of the ball.

So what are the odds any of these guys turn into more than emergency starters?

John Schneider had picked 40 players in Rounds 4-5 over his first 13 drafts in Seattle. Eight of them turned into full-time starters, and five have been top backups/part-time starters. So that gives these four new guys a historic 20% chance individually of becoming permanent starters –collectively, one of them is likely to become a regular starter.

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NFL draft

Hawks whiff on needs on Day 2

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The Seahawks entered this draft with four big needs – and they didn’t address any of them in the first two days:

❌ Nose tackle
❌ Defensive end
❌ Inside linebacker
❌ Center

After going for star power in Round 1, with cornerback Devon Witherspoon and receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba, the Hawks really needed to hit some of those big needs on Day 2.

Instead, they reached to add yet another rush linebacker and used a second-round pick on a running back for the second straight year. Maybe their best move was bailing from the third round and picking up an early fourth and a 2024 third from Denver (more on the Broncos below).

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