Hawks more likely to move down than up

NFL draftThere seems to be growing sentiment that the Seahawks want to move up in the second round to get an impact player, but it seems more likely that they will bail out of the second round. And not just because John Schneider has moved down in all five of his Seahawks drafts.

Unless a player they really like falls to them, they are likely to see a bunch of similarly skilled players — any of which they might like — and that could make Schneider want to move down and pick up another draft choice or two.

Schneider has moved down in the second round in all five drafts, but he has vacated the round in only one: In 2011, the Seahawks were short a third-rounder and Schneider traded out of the second round (No. 57 overall) to regain a third (No. 75), add a fourth and move up a bit in the fifth and seventh rounds. (The Hawks’ picks — John Moffitt and Kris Durham — were forgettable.)

A move down about 10 spots this year probably would net an extra fifth-rounder.

Why would Schneider drop out of the second round though? Because, just as the first round hits a cliff after about 16 picks, the second round effectively melds into the third round around picks 50-55. That means the Hawks are already in the third round at pick 63 and could still get the same quality of player 10 picks later — especially if a bunch of similarly graded linemen are there.

It also would bump the Hawks’ picks up to at least 12, giving them ample opportunity to satisfy their needs while not overextending (as they did with Justin Britt last year, for example).

It’s certainly possible the Hawks will use some of their 11 picks to move up from 63, but it doesn’t fit Schneider’s history or the situation.

As Schneider said last year, “I think we have a track record where we tried to acquire as many picks as we possibly can. At the top of the draft, you’re excited about the players and everything, but then the further you get into the draft you wish you had more picks toward the end because there are quality players there that you know the coaching staff could work with and coach up. So you always want as many picks as you can (get).”

Here’s a look at his moves in the second round:

2010: In March 2010, Schneider overpaid for QB Charlie Whitehurst, dropping from 40 to 60 in the second round and giving up a 2011 third-rounder. The Hawks drafted WR Golden Tate at 60.

2011: Schneider traded out of the second round to regain a third and add a fourth from Detroit. The Hawks drafted OG John Moffitt in the third and WR Kris Durham in the fourth, so it was a forgettable deal all around. (Ironic that Durham ended up playing for Detroit last season.)

2012: The Hawks dropped from 43 to Philadelphia’s spot at 47, added two picks and ended up with LB Bobby Wagner (47th), LB Korey Toomer (154th) and DE Greg Scruggs (232th). Not bad for sliding down four spots.

2013: They dropped from 56 to 62 and took RB Christine Michael in a surprise move. They also added a fifth and sixth in that deal with Baltimore, and the Hawks used those to move up in the fifth round to draft DT Jesse Williams.

2014: Dropped out of the first round, from No. 32 to No. 40, where they drafted Paul Richardson. They added a fourth-rounder in the deal and used it to draft defensive lineman Cassius Marsh.

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